Four things worth knowing about how it behaves. If you are a maximalist, three of them will matter to you.
In a downtrend this strategy moves to cash and buys back lower. That is the whole mechanism. If you will never sell a single sat under any circumstance, this is not the strategy for you, and no backtest should change your mind.
Judge it the way you judge everything: did the round trip end with more SUI than simply holding? That is the only comparison that matters, and it is the one printed on the card below.
When SUI only goes up, holding wins — you cannot beat a rocket by stepping off it. The edge shows up across a full cycle, and above all in the drawdown you never had to sit through. Use the range buttons on each chart and check the bad years yourself.
You get the signal. Your coins stay where you keep them, on your exchange or in your own hands. We never touch them and never ask for a withdrawal key.
The card tells you what the strategy holds right now. “100% on SUI” means fully in SUI today; “100% in CASH” means fully out. Click the card to open its full record.
One decision a day. It reads the market at the daily close and either stays put or switches side. That is the whole cadence: no intraday moves, nothing to watch in between.
Blue means you are in SUI, green means you are in cash. The position history inside the card paints one band per holding period, so a whole year of decisions reads at a glance — and you can see exactly which crashes it sat out.
The short side needs a perpetual futures account, and we measured what that costs. Holding a perpetual short means paying or receiving a funding rate every eight hours. We applied Binance's own published history for SUIUSDT to every short this strategy took: the effect is +0.1% — small enough to round away. It is income, not a cost — funding on BTC is positive most of the time, and a short collects it. The figures above leave it out, so they are slightly conservative, not optimistic.
Here the venue was never the problem. SUI listed on 3 May 2023 and Binance opened its perpetual the same day, so there is no stretch of this backtest where the short side would have been impossible to place. That is not the norm — on bitcoin the gap was two years, and cutting those unplaceable trades out cost more than half of the headline figure.
History is a simulated backtest, not money that was made. It shows how the rules would have behaved on past prices, which is useful and is not a promise. Only the part after the go-live date is a live, forward record. None of this is investment advice.